DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI 2026 Betting Tips, Odds and Predictions
Our DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI picks are already chosen
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
£39.99/month after 1 month. Cancel any time.
Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers have made Rory McIlroy favourite for the DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI at 3.5/1. That is an implied 22.2% before the margin comes out, and 21.2% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a dominant favourite, with Jon Rahm next in at 7/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 50.3% of the win chance between them, which leaves 49.7% spread across the other 44 priced players. The market is concentrated at the top, so the each-way places are where the value tends to sit rather than the win market. 24 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 1.6%, or 5.8% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Betfair Exchange at 8.3% (1 @ 1/1), so taking the best price player by player is worth 6.7 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rory McIlroy
|
3.5/1 | 22.2% | 21.2% |
| 2 |
Jon Rahm
|
7/1 | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| 3 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
11.3/1 | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| 4 |
Adam Scott
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| 5 |
Tyrrell Hatton
|
21/1 | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| 6 |
Daniel Hillier
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| 7 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| 8 |
Kristoffer Reitan
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| 9 |
Matt Wallace
|
32/1 | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| 10 |
Angel Ayora
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 11 |
Patrick Reed
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| 12 |
Victor Perez
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| 13 |
David Puig
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| 14 |
Aaron Rai
|
46/1 | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| 15 |
Ryan Fox
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| 16 |
Matthew Jordan
|
68/1 | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 17 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
68/1 | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 18 |
Adrian Meronk
|
73/1 | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| 19 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
73/1 | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| 20 |
Jacob Skov Olesen
|
73/1 | 1.4% | 1.3% |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
Our model's numbers for the DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange | 1 @ 1/1 | 3.7% | 8.3% |
| 2 | AK Bets | 5 @ 1/5 | 24.5% | 20.1% |
| 3 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/5 | 26.3% | 21.8% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.5% | 22.4% |
| 5 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.4% | 25.6% |
| 6 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.4% | 25.6% |
| 7 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.6% | 27.7% |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.2% | 31.6% |
| 9 | Coral | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.2% | 31.6% |
| 10 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.9% | 32.2% |
| 11 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52% | 32.4% |
| 12 | Betfair Sportsbook | 5 @ 1/4 | 52% | 32.4% |
| 13 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 52% | 32.4% |
| 14 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.3% | 32.6% |
| 15 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.8% | 33.1% |
| 16 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.9% | 33.1% |
| 17 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 54.2% | 34.1% |
| 18 | Star Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 57% | 36.6% |
| 19 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| 20 | BetMGM UK | 1 @ 1/1 | 45% | 45% |
| 21 | QuinnBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 46.7% | 46.7% |
DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI 2026 betting FAQ
Who is the favourite for the DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI 2026?
Rory McIlroy is the outright favourite at 3.5/1, which is an implied chance of 22.2% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 21.2% after. Jon Rahm is next in the market at 7/1.
When was the DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI 2026 played?
The DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI started on Thursday 12 November 2026 and finishes on Sunday 15 November 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI field?
49 players were in the field, 49 of them priced by the bookmakers. 24 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 1.6%, against 8.3% at Betfair Exchange, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP, DUBAI picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 1-month trial is free.
Get the picks, not just the numbers
Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. Your first month is free.
£39.99/month after 1 month. Cancel any time.
More golf betting analysis
- All golf betting tips
- Austin Championship betting tips
- PGA Tour and DP World Tour schedule
- GolfForecast track record
- Each-way golf betting explained
- Which bookie is best for golf?
- Should you bet each-way on golf?
- How often do favourites win golf events?
- Golfer profiles and form
18+. Please gamble responsibly. GolfForecast publishes statistical analysis, not guarantees - past results do not guarantee future returns.