Home / Golf betting tips / Bermuda Championship 2026
Result

Bermuda Championship 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

22 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 Tour PGA Tour Prize fund $6,000,000 Field 121 Odds updated 20 Oct 2026

See what we tipped for the Bermuda Championship

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

Start your free 1-month trial → See the track record

£39.99/month after 1 month. Cancel any time.

profit since 2020, staked at £100 per event
return on investment

Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

Bermuda Championship 2026 at a glance

Favourite
12/1Benjamin James
Favourite's chance
6.8%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
19.1%combined win chance
Field
121120 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
8.6%vs 14.3% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
83players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Benjamin James favourite for the Bermuda Championship at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 6.8% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Kevin Roy next in at 25/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 19.1% of the win chance between them, which leaves 80.9% spread across the other 115 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 83 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 8.6%, or 9.7% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Betfair Exchange at 14.3% (1 @ 1/1), so taking the best price player by player is worth 5.7 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

Bermuda Championship 2026 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Benjamin James 12/1 7.7% 6.8% 102nd
2 USA Kevin Roy 25/1 3.8% 3.4% 65th
3 USA Andrew Novak 28/1 3.4% 3.0% 50th
4 Chinese Taipei Kevin Yu 28/1 3.4% 3.0% 108th
5 Canada Corey Conners 30/1 3.2% 2.8% 5th
6 USA Chris Kirk 32/1 3.0% 2.7% 8th
7 USA Eric Cole 34/1 2.9% 2.5% 33rd
8 Ireland Seamus Power 36/1 2.7% 2.4% 2nd
9 USA Ben Kohles 36/1 2.7% 2.4% 24th
10 USA Austin Smotherman 38/1 2.6% 2.3% 1st
11 USA Richard Hoey 39/1 2.5% 2.2% 52nd
12 USA Davis Thompson 40/1 2.4% 2.2% 34th
13 USA Trace Crowe 40/1 2.4% 2.2% 42nd
14 USA Neal Shipley(Am) 42/1 2.3% 2.1% 38th
15 Norway Kristoffer Ventura 44/1 2.2% 2.0% 40th
16 USA Denny McCarthy 46/1 2.1% 1.9% 16th
17 USA David Ford 46/1 2.1% 1.9% 25th
18 USA Max Greyserman 48/1 2.0% 1.8% 120th
19 USA Max McGreevy 53/1 1.9% 1.6% 45th
20 USA Taylor Moore 60/1 1.6% 1.4% 3rd

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the Bermuda Championship 2026 finished

Austin Smotherman won the Bermuda Championship, having started the week at 38/1 - an implied 2.6% chance. The favourite, Benjamin James, finished 102nd.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 USA Austin Smotherman 38/1 2.6%
2 Ireland Seamus Power 36/1 2.7%
3 USA Taylor Moore 60/1 1.6%
4 Canada Benjamin Silverman 234/1 0.4%
5 Canada Corey Conners 30/1 3.2%
6 USA Chan Kim 156/1 0.6%
7 USA Tom Hoge 195/1 0.5%
8 USA Chris Kirk 32/1 3.0%
9 USA Danny Walker 175/1 0.6%
10 USA Chandler Blanchet 195/1 0.5%

Our model's numbers for the Bermuda Championship

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Benjamin James 12 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 6.79% ≈ 14/1 0% -6.79% Free
2 USA Kevin Roy 25 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.4% ≈ 28/1 1.21% -2.19% Free
3 USA Andrew Novak 28 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 3.04% ≈ 32/1 2.82% -0.22% Free
4 Chinese Taipei Kevin Yu 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.04% ≈ 32/1 🔒
5 Canada Corey Conners 30 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.6/1) 3.23% 2.85% ≈ 34/1 🔒
6 USA Chris Kirk 32 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.8/1) 3.03% 2.68% ≈ 36/1 🔒
7 USA Eric Cole 34 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.2/1) 2.86% 2.52% ≈ 39/1 🔒
8 Ireland Seamus Power 36 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.6/1) 2.7% 2.39% ≈ 41/1 🔒
9 USA Ben Kohles 36 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.2/1) 2.7% 2.39% ≈ 41/1 🔒
10 USA Austin Smotherman 38 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 9/1) 2.56% 2.26% ≈ 43/1 🔒
11 USA Richard Hoey 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.8/1) 2.5% 2.21% ≈ 44/1 🔒
12 USA Davis Thompson 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.15% ≈ 45/1 🔒
13 USA Trace Crowe 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.15% ≈ 45/1 🔒
14 USA Neal Shipley(Am) 42 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.33% 2.05% ≈ 48/1 🔒
15 Norway Kristoffer Ventura 44 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.22% 1.96% ≈ 50/1 🔒
16 USA Denny McCarthy 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.13% 1.88% ≈ 52/1 🔒
17 USA David Ford 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 9/1) 2.13% 1.88% ≈ 52/1 🔒
18 USA Max Greyserman 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.04% 1.8% ≈ 54/1 🔒
19 USA Max McGreevy 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.5/1) 1.85% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 🔒
20 USA Taylor Moore 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 101 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 1 month →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 11.3% 14.3%
2 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.4% 25.6%
3 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.4% 25.6%
4 Boyle Sports 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.1%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 27.5%
6 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 45.1% 27.6%
7 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 31.3%
8 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 31.3%
9 BetGoodwin 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 31.8%
10 BetTom 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 31.8%
11 BetAhoy 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 31.8%
12 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 32.6%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 32.6%
14 Paddy Power 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 32.6%
15 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 52% 33.8%
16 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 53% 37%
17 Unibet 1 @ 1/1 37.8% 37.8%
18 BetMGM UK 1 @ 1/1 38% 38%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 56.7% 40.4%
20 Betway 5 @ 1/4 61.4% 42%
21 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 63.6% 46.5%

Bermuda Championship 2026 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the Bermuda Championship 2026?

Benjamin James was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 6.8% after. Kevin Roy was next in the market at 25/1.

Who won the Bermuda Championship 2026?

Austin Smotherman won the Bermuda Championship 2026, starting the week at 38/1.

When was the Bermuda Championship 2026 played?

The Bermuda Championship started on Thursday 22 October 2026 and finished on Sunday 25 October 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big was the Bermuda Championship field?

121 players were in the field, 120 of them priced by the bookmakers. 83 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the Bermuda Championship?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 8.6%, against 14.3% at Betfair Exchange, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get Bermuda Championship betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its Bermuda Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 1-month trial is free.

Get the picks, not just the numbers

Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. Your first month is free.

Start your free 1-month trial → See pricing

£39.99/month after 1 month. Cancel any time.

More golf betting analysis

18+. Please gamble responsibly. GolfForecast publishes statistical analysis, not guarantees - past results do not guarantee future returns.

Bermuda Championship: Predicted and Edge are locked on the rest of the field. Unlock free for 1 month →