Mexico Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Mexico Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Mexico Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Wyndham Clark favourite for the Mexico Open at 10/1. That is an implied 9.1% before the margin comes out, and 7.7% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Joohyung Kim next in at 16/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 25.2% of the win chance between them, which leaves 74.8% spread across the other 109 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 82 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 3.5%, or 2.8% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Betfair Exchange at 8.6% (1 @ 1/1), so taking the best price player by player is worth 5.1 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Mexico Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wyndham Clark
|
10/1 | 9.1% | 7.7% | 99th |
| 2 |
Joohyung Kim
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 5.0% | - |
| 3 |
Doug Ghim
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6th |
| 4 |
Benjamin Griffin
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4th |
| 5 |
Marco Penge
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 40th |
| 6 |
Benjamin James
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 16th |
| 7 |
Corey Conners
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 48th |
| 8 |
John Keefer
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 84th |
| 9 |
Kristoffer Ventura
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2nd |
| 10 |
Andrew Novak
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1st |
| 11 |
David Ford
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 78th |
| 12 |
Neal Shipley(Am)
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 16th |
| 13 |
Blades Brown
|
42/1 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 19th |
| 14 |
Harry Hall
|
48/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 23rd |
| 15 |
Max Homa
|
53/1 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 66th |
| 16 |
Jackson Suber
|
53/1 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 34th |
| 17 |
Jordan L Smith
|
58/1 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 16th |
| 18 |
Taylor Moore
|
63/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% | - |
| 19 |
Zachary Bauchou
|
63/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 87th |
| 20 |
Gordon Sargent
|
66/1 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 34th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Mexico Open 2026 finished
Andrew Novak won the Mexico Open, having started the week at 35/1 - an implied 2.8% chance. The favourite, Wyndham Clark, finished 99th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Andrew Novak
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
| 2 |
Kristoffer Ventura
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
| 2 |
Steven Fisk
|
92/1 | 1.1% |
| 4 |
Mackenzie Hughes
|
107/1 | 0.9% |
| 4 |
Benjamin Griffin
|
20/1 | 4.8% |
| 6 |
Erik van Rooyen
|
185/1 | 0.5% |
| 6 |
Brian Campbell
|
430/1 | 0.2% |
| 6 |
Doug Ghim
|
18/1 | 5.3% |
| 6 |
Tom Kim
|
- | - |
| 6 |
Pierceson Coody
|
97/1 | 1.0% |
Our model's numbers for the Mexico Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange | 1 @ 1/1 | 5.6% | 8.6% |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 66.8% | 26.6% |
| 3 | Coral | 8 @ 1/5 | 66.8% | 26.6% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 45.4% | 27.9% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 94.3% | 28.2% |
| 6 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.1% | 30.3% |
| 7 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.9% | 31% |
| 8 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.1% | 32.9% |
| 9 | Betfair Sportsbook | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.1% | 32.9% |
| 10 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.1% | 32.9% |
| 11 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.6% | 37.5% |
| 12 | Betfred | 1 @ 1/1 | 39.5% | 39.5% |
| 13 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 59% | 42.4% |
| 14 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 62.2% | 42.7% |
| 15 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 43% | 43% |
| 16 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.4% | 43.7% |
| 17 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 60.8% | 44% |
| 18 | BetMGM UK | 1 @ 1/1 | 44.1% | 44.1% |
| 19 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.8% | 49.4% |
| 20 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.8% | 49.4% |
| 21 | BetAhoy | 1 @ 1/1 | 77.1% | 77.1% |
| 22 | BetTom | 1 @ 1/1 | 77.6% | 77.6% |
| 23 | BetGoodwin | 1 @ 1/1 | 78.2% | 78.2% |
Mexico Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Mexico Open 2026?
Wyndham Clark was the outright favourite at 10/1, which is an implied chance of 9.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.7% after. Joohyung Kim was next in the market at 16/1.
Who won the Mexico Open 2026?
Andrew Novak won the Mexico Open 2026, starting the week at 35/1.
When was the Mexico Open 2026 played?
The Mexico Open started on Thursday 29 October 2026 and finished on Sunday 1 November 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Mexico Open field?
125 players were in the field, 114 of them priced by the bookmakers. 82 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Mexico Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 3.5%, against 8.6% at Betfair Exchange, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Mexico Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Mexico Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 1-month trial is free.
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